UK Octopus Agile Tariff 7-Day Forecast & Multi-Horizon A/B Benchmark Platform
336 half-hour quantile predictions ($P_{10}, P_{50}, P_{90}$) with 16:00–19:00 UK peak adder and statutory bounds [-10p, 100p].
| Settlement Time (UTC) | Forecast (p/kWh) | P10 Bound | P90 Bound |
|---|---|---|---|
Forecast data ready at edge. Query live endpoint /api/G |
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100% AgilePredict contract parity with edge caching:
Head-to-head accuracy scorecards comparing candidate challenger models against the production Primary champion across 12h–168h horizons.
| Challenger Model | Primary Baseline | Region | Horizon | Window | Primary MAE | Candidate MAE | ΔMAE | Improvement | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sequential multi-model A/B scorecard active. Retrained daily upon 15:45 UTC actuals release. | |||||||||